dionys
10-17-2004, 12:10 AM
Hi...Can you plz check if my proof is correct?
Exercise:
A1,A2,.....An are independently events.
Prove that :
P(A1[union]A2[union]...[union]An) = 1-Πi[element-of]I(1-P(Ai))
note for this (Πi[element-of]I(1-P(Ai))
I={1,2,....n)
P([intersect]Ai)= Π P(Ai)
for 3 events A1,A2,A3
means: P(A1[intersect]A2)=P(A1)*P(A2)
P(A2[intersect]A3)=P(A2)*P(A3)
P(A2[intersect]A3)=P(A2)*P(A3)
P(A1[intersect]A2[intersect]A3)=P(A1)* P(A2) * P(A3)
Now my proof:
We know that P([intersect]Ai)= Π P(Ai)
if A1,A2,...,An are independent then and the complements
are independent
P([intersect]Ai)complement = Π P(Aicomplement)
P([union](Ai compl) ) = Π(1-P(Ai))
1-P([union]Ai)= Π(1-P(Ai))
-P([union]Ai)=-1+Π(1-P(Ai))
Finally ... we got our proof
P([union]Ai)=1-Πi[element-of]I(1-P(Ai))
Is it correct?
Exercise:
A1,A2,.....An are independently events.
Prove that :
P(A1[union]A2[union]...[union]An) = 1-Πi[element-of]I(1-P(Ai))
note for this (Πi[element-of]I(1-P(Ai))
I={1,2,....n)
P([intersect]Ai)= Π P(Ai)
for 3 events A1,A2,A3
means: P(A1[intersect]A2)=P(A1)*P(A2)
P(A2[intersect]A3)=P(A2)*P(A3)
P(A2[intersect]A3)=P(A2)*P(A3)
P(A1[intersect]A2[intersect]A3)=P(A1)* P(A2) * P(A3)
Now my proof:
We know that P([intersect]Ai)= Π P(Ai)
if A1,A2,...,An are independent then and the complements
are independent
P([intersect]Ai)complement = Π P(Aicomplement)
P([union](Ai compl) ) = Π(1-P(Ai))
1-P([union]Ai)= Π(1-P(Ai))
-P([union]Ai)=-1+Π(1-P(Ai))
Finally ... we got our proof
P([union]Ai)=1-Πi[element-of]I(1-P(Ai))
Is it correct?